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Table: PopART-IBM parameter dictionary

Name Value Description File Source
time_to_background_HIVtestNOW 3.0 Legacy parameter for different background testing function cascade -
time_to_background_HIVtest_maxval 8.0 Legacy parameter for different background testing function cascade -
time_to_background_HIVtest_exponent 6.0 Legacy parameter for different background testing function cascade -
time_to_background_HIVtest_midpoint 6.5 Legacy parameter for different background testing function cascade -
p_HIV_background_testing_female_pre2006 0.5 Baseline probability of a female having an HIV test in period from when HIV tests were first offered until 2006 in the background cascade cascade -
p_HIV_background_testing_female_current 0.5 Annual baseline probability of a female having an HIV test from 2006 onwards in the background cascade cascade -
RR_HIV_background_testing_male 0.5 Relative probability of a man having a HIV test in the background cascade compared to a woman cascade -
HIV_rapid_test_sensitivity_CHIPS 1.0 Sensitivity of the rapid HIV test used by CHiPs cascade -
p_collect_hiv_test_results_cd4_over200 0.97 Probability collect background HIV test results when CD4>200 or HIV-negative cascade -
p_collect_hiv_test_results_cd4_under200 1.0 Probability collect background HIV test results when HIV positive with CD4<=200 cascade -
p_collect_cd4_test_results_cd4_nonpopart 0.85 Probability collect background CD4 test results cascade -
p_collect_cd4_test_results_cd4_popartYEAR1 1.0 Probability collect CD4 test results following CHiPs HIV test for CHiPs round 1 cascade -
p_collect_cd4_test_results_cd4_popartYEAR2onwards 1.0 Probability collect CD4 test results following CHiPs HIV test for CHiPs round 2 onwards cascade -
p_dies_earlyart_cd4_over500 0.0 Probability die while on early ART and CD4>500 cascade -
p_dies_earlyart_cd4_350_500 0.0 Probability die while on early ART and CD4 350-500 cascade -
p_dies_earlyart_cd4_200_350 0.0 Probability die while on early ART and CD4 200-350 cascade -
p_dies_earlyart_cd4_under200 0.08 Probability die while on early ART and CD4<=200 cascade -
p_leaves_earlyart_cd4_over200_if_not_die_early 0.0 Probability drop out from early ART if CD4>200, given that do not die on early ART cascade -
p_leaves_earlyart_cd4_under200_if_not_die_early 0.0 Probability drop out from early ART if CD4<=200, given that do not die on early ART cascade -
p_becomes_vs_after_earlyart_if_not_die_early_or_leave 0.9 Probability become virally suppressed after early ART, given that do not die on early ART cascade -
p_stays_virally_suppressed 0.6 Probability that a woman who becomes virally suppressed remains virally suppressed for life cascade -
p_stays_virally_suppressed_male 0.5 Relative probability of a man who becomes virally suppressed remaining virally suppressed for life (compared to a woman) cascade -
p_stops_virally_suppressed 0.1 Probability that someone who becomes virally suppressed will eventually become virally unsuppressed (but remains on ART) cascade -
p_vu_becomes_virally_suppressed 0.0 Probability that someone who becomes virally unsuppressed after early ART eventually becomes virally suppressed cascade -
t_earlyart_dropout_nonpopart_min 0.0 Minimum time (in years) from starting early ART (from background HIV test) to dropping out, for those who drop out cascade -
t_earlyart_dropout_nonpopart_max 0.17 Maximum time (in years) from starting early ART (from background HIV test) to dropping out, for those who drop out cascade -
t_earlyart_dropout_popart_min 0.0 Minimum time (in years) from starting early ART (from CHiPs HIV test) to dropping out, for those who drop out cascade -
t_earlyart_dropout_popart_max 0.17 Maximum time (in years) from starting early ART (from CHiPs HIV test) to dropping out, for those who drop out cascade -
t_dies_earlyart_nonpopart_min 0.0 Minimum time (in years) from starting early ART (from background HIV test) to dying, for those who die during early ART cascade -
t_dies_earlyart_nonpopart_max 0.17 Maximum time (in years) from starting early ART (from background HIV test) to dying, for those who die during early ART cascade -
t_dies_earlyart_popart_min 0.0 Minimum time (in years) from starting early ART (from CHiPs HIV test) to dying, for those who die during early ART cascade -
t_dies_earlyart_popart_max 0.17 Maximum time (in years) from starting early ART (from CHiPs HIV test) to dying, for those who die during early ART cascade -
t_end_early_art 0.17 Maximum duration (in years) of early ART stage (for those who will remain on ART (whether virally suppressed or unsuppressed) cascade -
t_cd4_retest_nonpopart_min 0.9 Minimum time between successive CD4 tests when not initially eligible for ART following positive background HIV test result cascade -
t_cd4_retest_nonpopart_max 1.1 Maximum time between successive CD4 tests when not initially eligible for ART following positive background HIV test result cascade -
t_cd4_retest_popart_min 0.9 Minimum time between successive CD4 tests when not initially eligible for ART following positive CHiPs HIV test result (arm B) cascade -
t_cd4_retest_popart_max 1.1 Maximum time between successive CD4 tests when not initially eligible for ART following positive CHiPs HIV test result (arm B) cascade -
t_cd4_whenartfirstavail_min 0.0 Minimum time (in years) until someone who is HIV-positive aware (and wants to start ART) has a CD4 test to determine eligibility for ART, when ART first becomes available cascade -
t_cd4_whenartfirstavail_max 2.0 Maximum time (in years) until someone who is HIV-positive aware (and wants to start ART) has a CD4 test to determine eligibility for ART, when ART first becomes available cascade -
t_delay_hivtest_to_cd4test_nonpopart_min 0.02083333 Minimum time in years from (positive) background HIV test to CD4 test cascade -
t_delay_hivtest_to_cd4test_nonpopart_max 0.5 Maximum time in years from (positive) background HIV test to CD4 test cascade -
t_delay_hivtest_to_cd4test_popart_min 0.0208333 Minimum time in years from (positive) CHiPs HIV test to CD4 test cascade -
t_delay_hivtest_to_cd4test_popart_max 0.08 Maximum time in years from (positive) CHiPs HIV test to CD4 test cascade -
t_start_art_nonpopart_mean 0.55 Mean time in years to start ART through background HIV testing (of those who decide to start ART) cascade -
n_time_periods_art_popart_round_1 6.0 Number of time periods in R1 with different distributions of time to start ART following a positive CHiPs test (see Supplement Table S4.5) cascade -
n_time_periods_art_popart_round_2 1.0 Number of time periods in R2 with different distributions of time to start ART following a positive CHiPs test cascade -
n_time_periods_art_popart_round_3 1.0 Number of time periods in R3 with different distributions of time to start ART following a positive CHiPs test cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_1 0.198 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 1 Period 1 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_2 0.161 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 1 Period 2 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_3 0.11800000000000001 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 1 Period 3 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_4 0.135 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 1 Period 4 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_5 0.081 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 1 Period 5 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_6 0.027999999999999997 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 1 Period 6 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_slow_1 2.7110000000000003 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 1 Period 1 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_slow_2 2.378 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 1 Period 2 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_slow_3 2.086 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 1 Period 3 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_slow_4 1.62 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 1 Period 4 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_slow_5 1.2819999999999998 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 1 Period 5 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round1_mean_slow_6 0.8540000000000001 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 1 Period 6 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_1 0.215 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 1 Period 1 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_2 0.18600000000000003 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 1 Period 2 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_3 0.18 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 1 Period 3 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_4 0.2 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 1 Period 4 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_5 0.313 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 1 Period 5 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round1_mean_fast_6 0.175 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 1 Period 6 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round2_mean_fast 0.075 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 2 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round2_mean_slow 1.262 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 2 cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round2_mean_fast 0.226 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 2 cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round3_mean_fast 0.03 Mean time to start ART fast (years) in Round 3 onwards cascade -
t_start_art_popart_round3_mean_slow 0.795 Mean time to start ART slow (years) in Round 3 onwards cascade -
p_start_art_popart_round3_mean_fast 0.284 Probability of being a fast starter in Round 3 onwards cascade -
t_end_vs_becomevu_nonpopart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through background cascade (and who will eventually become VU) to become VU cascade -
t_end_vs_becomevu_nonpopart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through background cascade (and who will eventually become VU) to become VU cascade -
t_end_vs_becomevu_popart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who will eventually become VU) to become VU cascade -
t_end_vs_becomevu_popart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who will eventually become VU) to become VU cascade -
t_end_vs_dropout_nonpopart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through background cascade (and who will eventually drop out) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vs_dropout_nonpopart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through background cascade (and who will eventually drop out) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vs_dropout_popart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who will eventually drop out) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vs_dropout_popart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VS and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who will eventually drop out) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vu_becomevs_nonpopart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through background cascade (and who will eventually become VS) to become VS. Currently zero probability, as determined by p_vu_becomes_virally_suppressed cascade -
t_end_vu_becomevs_nonpopart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through background cascade (and who will eventually become VS) to become VS. Currently zero probability, as determined by p_vu_becomes_virally_suppressed cascade -
t_end_vu_becomevs_popart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who will eventually become VS) to become VS. Currently zero probability, as determined by p_vu_becomes_virally_suppressed cascade -
t_end_vu_becomevs_popart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who will eventually become VS) to become VS. Currently zero probability, as determined by p_vu_becomes_virally_suppressed cascade -
t_end_vu_dropout_nonpopart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through background cascade (and who does not eventually become VS) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vu_dropout_nonpopart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through background cascade (and who does not eventually become VS) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vu_dropout_popart_min 0.01 Minimum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who does not eventually become VS) to drop out cascade -
t_end_vu_dropout_popart_max 6.0 Maximum time taken (in years) for someone VU and who started ART through CHiPs testing (and who does not eventually become VS) to drop out cascade -
p_popart_to_cascade 1.0 Probability that someone who had previously dropped out (either tested HIV+ but never linked to care, or was on ART and dropped out) will agree to PopART cascade -
p_circ_nopopart 0.4 Probability of man being circumcised following negative background HIV test result cascade -
p_circ_popart 0.4 Probability of man being circumcised following negative CHiPs HIV test result cascade -
t_get_vmmc_nonpopart_min 0.25 Minimum time (in years) between background HIV- test and getting VMMC cascade -
t_get_vmmc_nonpopart_max 1.0 Maximum time (in years) between background HIV- test and getting VMMC cascade -
t_get_vmmc_popart_min 0.08333 Minimum time (in years) between CHiPs HIV- test and getting VMMC cascade -
t_get_vmmc_popart_max 1.0 Maximum time (in years) between CHiPs HIV- test and getting VMMC cascade -
t_vmmc_healing 0.038 Time (in years) for VMMC wound to heal cascade -
sex_ratio 0.5073892 Fraction of new adults that are male demographics -
p_child_circ 0.0618 Proportion of male children who have undergone traditional circumcision HIV -
eff_circ_vmmc 0.6 Effectiveness of voluntary male medical circumcision in reducing susceptibility to HIV infection HIV -
eff_circ_tmc 0.0 Effectiveness of traditional male circumcision in reducing susceptibility to HIV infection HIV -
rr_circ_unhealed 0.33 Relative risk (compared to uncircumcised state) of acquiring HIV during VMMC healing phase HIV -
t0_pmtct 1990.0 Legacy parameter HIV -
t50_pmtct 2000.0 Legacy parameter HIV -
average_log_viral_load 4.0 Legacy parameter HIV -
average_annual_hazard 0.12 Annual HIV female-to-male transmission hazard in individuals with maximal SPVL and in CD4 stage >500 HIV -
RRacute_trans 5.3 Relative infectivity of acute and early HIV infection (AEHI) stage (compared to chronic HIV infection with CD4>500) HIV -
RRmale_to_female_trans 2.0 Relative infectivity of male-to-female HIV transmission (compared to female-to-male) HIV -
RRCD4_1 1.0 Relative infectivity in CD4 stage >500 (compared to chronic HIV infection with CD4>500) HIV -
RRCD4_2 1.0 Relative infectivity in CD4 stage 350-500 (compared to chronic HIV infection with CD4>500) HIV -
RRCD4_3 1.0 Relative infectivity in CD4 stage 200-350 (compared to chronic HIV infection with CD4>500) HIV -
RRCD4_4 2.34 Relative infectivity in CD4 stage <=200 (compared to chronic HIV infection with CD4>500) HIV -
SPVL_beta_k 1.02 Hill coefficient (the steepness of the increase in infectiousness as a function of set-point viral load) HIV -
SPVL_beta_50 13938.0 Set-point viral load at which infectiousness is half its maximum value HIV -
ART_VS_INITIAL 0.5 Relative infectivity of early ART stage (compared to no ART) HIV -
ART_VS_EFFECT 1.0 Relative infectivity of virally suppressed ART stage (compared to no ART) HIV -
ART_VU_EFFECT 0.3 Relative infectivity of virally unsuppressed ART stage (compared to no ART) HIV -
Dur_acute_range_min 0.08 Minimum duration of AEHI stage in years HIV -
Dur_acute_range_max 0.25 Maximum duration of AEHI stage in years HIV -
p_initial_cd4_gt500_spvl0 0.8640000000000001 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 who have initial CD4 >500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_350_500_spvl0 0.113 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 who have initial CD4 350-500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_200_350_spvl0 0.023 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 who have initial CD4 200-350 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_lt200_spvl0 0.0 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 who have initial CD4 <=200 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_gt500_spvl1 0.78 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.0-4.5 who have initial CD4 >500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_350_500_spvl1 0.19 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.0-4.5 who have initial CD4 350-500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_200_350_spvl1 0.03 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.0-4.5 who have initial CD4 200-350 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_lt200_spvl1 0.0 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.0-4.5 who have initial CD4 <=200 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_gt500_spvl2 0.74 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5.0 who have initial CD4 >500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_350_500_spvl2 0.21 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5.0 who have initial CD4 350-500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_200_350_spvl2 0.05 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5.0 who have initial CD4 200-350 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_lt200_spvl2 0.0 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5.0 who have initial CD4 <=200 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_gt500_spvl3 0.71 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL >5.0 who have initial CD4 >500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_350_500_spvl3 0.25 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL >5.0 who have initial CD4 350-500 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_200_350_spvl3 0.04 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL >5.0 who have initial CD4 200-350 following HIV infection HIV -
p_initial_cd4_lt200_spvl3 0.0 Proportion of individuals with log10 SPVL >5.0 who have initial CD4 <=200 following HIV infection HIV -
initial_SPVL_mu 4.74 Mean SPVL in seeded HIV infections HIV -
initial_SPVL_sigma 0.61 Standard deviation of SPVL in seeded HIV infections HIV -
SPVL_sigma_M 0.0 Parameter used when SPVL inheritance is switched on (macro SPVL_INHERITANCE=1). By default SPVL inheritance is off HIV -
SPVL_sigma_E 0.61 Standard deviation of SPVL in non-seeded infections. HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_0_0 1.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category >500 as >500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_0_1 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category >500 as 350-500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_0_2 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category >500 as 200-350 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_0_3 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category >500 as <=200 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_1_0 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 350-500 as >500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_1_1 1.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 350-500 as 350-500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_1_2 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 350-500 as 200-350 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_1_3 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 350-500 as <=200 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_2_0 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 200-350 as >500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_2_1 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 200-350 as 350-500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_2_2 1.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 200-350 as 200-350 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_2_3 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category 200-350 as <=200 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_3_0 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category <=200 as >500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_3_1 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category <=200 as 350-500 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_3_2 0.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category <=200 as 200-350 HIV -
p_misclassify_cd4_3_3 1.0 Probability of classifying actual CD4 category <=200 as <=200 HIV -
time_gt500_to_500_spvl0 5.35 Time (in years) spent in CD4 category >500 for individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 when not on ART HIV -
time_350to500_to_350_spvl0 3.66 Time (in years) spent in CD4 category 350-500 for individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 not on ART HIV -
time_200to350_to_200_spvl0 7.62 Time (in years) spent in CD4 category 200-350 for individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 not on ART HIV -
time_lt200_to_death_spvl0 2.3 Time (in years) spent in CD4 category <=200 until death for individuals with log10 SPVL <=4.0 not on ART HIV -
time_gt500_to_500_spvl1 3.12 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category >500 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4-4.5 when not on ART HIV -
time_350to500_to_350_spvl1 3.09 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category 350-500 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4-4.5 when not on ART HIV -
time_200to350_to_200_spvl1 8.39 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category 200-350 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4-4.5 when not on ART HIV -
time_lt200_to_death_spvl1 2.3 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category <=200 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4-4.5 when not on ART HIV -
time_gt500_to_500_spvl2 2.35 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category >500 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5 when not on ART HIV -
time_350to500_to_350_spvl2 2.32 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category 350-500 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5 when not on ART HIV -
time_200to350_to_200_spvl2 6.57 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category 200-350 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5 when not on ART HIV -
time_lt200_to_death_spvl2 2.3 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category <=200 for individuals with log10 SPVL 4.5-5 when not on ART HIV -
time_gt500_to_500_spvl3 1.51 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category >500 for individuals with log10 SPVL >5 when not on ART HIV -
time_350to500_to_350_spvl3 1.44 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category 350-500 for individuals with log10 SPVL >5 when not on ART HIV -
time_200to350_to_200_spvl3 2.93 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category 200-350 for individuals with log10 SPVL >5 when not on ART HIV -
time_lt200_to_death_spvl3 2.3 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=1 for time spent (in years) in CD4 category <=200 for individuals with log10 SPVL >5 when not on ART HIV -
cox_RRspvl_gt500_to_500 2.17 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=0 (default setting). Factor by which time in CD4 category >500 is decreased, per 10-fold increase in SPVL HIV -
cox_RRspvl_500_to_350 1.88 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=0 (default setting). Factor by which time in CD4 category 350-500 is decreased, per 10-fold increase in SPVL HIV -
cox_RRspvl_350_to_200 1.96 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=0 (default setting). Factor by which time in CD4 category 200-350 is decreased, per 10-fold increase in SPVL HIV -
cox_RRspvl_200_to_death 1.63 Used when macro USEFOURSPVLCATEGORIES=0 (default setting). Factor by which time in CD4 category <=200 is decreased, per 10-fold increase in SPVL HIV -
factor_for_slower_progression_ART_VU 1.0 Multiplier for increased duration in each CD4 stage when on ART but virally unsuppressed (compared to being virally suppressed) HIV -
rng_seed 2020.0 Random starting seed init -
initial_adult_population_size 2050.0 Size of the population aged 14+ at the start of the simulation init -
initial_prop_14_17 0.1583 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 14-17 init -
initial_prop_18_22 0.1613 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 18-22 init -
initial_prop_23_30 0.1885 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 23-30 init -
initial_prop_31_40 0.1983 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 31-40 init -
initial_prop_41_50 0.1353 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 41-50 init -
initial_prop_51_60 0.0828 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 51-60 init -
initial_prop_61_and_older 0.0755 Proportion of the modelled population at the start of the simulation that are aged 61+ init -
initial_low_risk_male 0.45 Proportion of men who are in the low-risk activity group when entering adult population init -
initial_low_risk_female 0.45 Proportion of women who are in the low-risk activity group when entering adult population init -
initial_med_not_low_risk_male 0.745 Of those men who did not enter the low risk group, proportion of men who are in the medium-risk activity group when entering adult population init -
initial_med_not_low_risk_female 0.745 Of those women who did not enter the low risk group, proportion of women who are in the medium-risk activity group when entering adult population init -
initial_prop_HIV_pos_low_risk_male 2e-05 Unscaled % of low activity level male population seeded HIV+ each year init -
initial_prop_HIV_pos_low_risk_female 2e-05 Unscaled % of low activity level female population seeded HIV+ each year init -
initial_prop_HIV_pos_med_risk_male 5e-05 Unscaled % of medium activity level male population seeded HIV+ each year init -
initial_prop_HIV_pos_med_risk_female 5e-05 Unscaled % of medium activity level female population seeded HIV+ each year init -
initial_prop_HIV_pos_high_risk_male 8e-05 Unscaled % of high activity level male population seeded HIV+ each year init -
initial_prop_HIV_pos_high_risk_female 8e-05 Unscaled % of high activity level female population seeded HIV+ each year init -
log_seed_multiplier 1.0 log10 of factor multiplying seeded % at the start of the HIV epidemic init -
n_years_HIV_seeding 5.0 Number of years of HIV seeding after start of HIV epidemic init -
assortativity 0.5 Risk assortativity partnerships -
prop_compromise_from_males 0.5 theta, the proportion of compromise in number of sexual partners from males partnerships -
c_f_1 0.011822581 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 14-17 partnerships -
c_f_2 0.023645162 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 18-22 partnerships -
c_f_3 0.018226193 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 23-30 partnerships -
c_f_4 0.012009144 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 31-40 partnerships -
c_f_5 0.009834833000000001 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 41-50 partnerships -
c_f_6 0.004917416 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 51-60 partnerships -
c_f_7 0.002458708 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for women in age group 61+ partnerships -
c_m_1 0.021872336000000003 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 14-17 partnerships -
c_m_2 0.043744672000000005 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 18-22 partnerships -
c_m_3 0.039466657 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 23-30 partnerships -
c_m_4 0.023920296 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 31-40 partnerships -
c_m_5 0.018824023 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 41-50 partnerships -
c_m_6 0.006004572 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 51-60 partnerships -
c_m_7 0.003002286 Within-community annual partnership formation rates for men in age group 61+ partnerships -
c_multiplier 2.25 Multiplier to for mis-reporting of number of sexual partners partnerships -
rel_rate_partnership_formation_between_patches 0.45 Relative rate of formation of partnerships between patches compared to within patches partnerships -
rr_hiv_between_vs_within_patch 0.3 Relative HIV transmission risk for partnerships between patches, compared to partnerships within same patch partnerships -
relative_number_partnerships_per_risk_low 1.0 Relative number of partnerships for low activity level group (compared to low activity level group) partnerships -
relative_number_partnerships_per_risk_med 7.7 Relative number of partnerships for medium activity level group (compared to low activity level group) partnerships -
relative_number_partnerships_per_risk_high 18.6 Relative number of partnerships for high activity level group (compared to low activity level group) partnerships -
p_age_m_1_1 0.935028249 Age mixing matrix for men partnerships -
p_age_m_1_2 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_1_3 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_1_4 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_1_5 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_1_6 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_1_7 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_1 0.26859504100000003 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_2 0.935028249 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_3 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_4 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_5 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_6 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_2_7 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_1 0.057416268 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_2 0.640862944 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_3 0.9434628979999999 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_4 0.875 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_5 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_6 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_3_7 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_1 0.012030075 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_2 0.112633181 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_3 0.615780446 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_4 0.9776785709999999 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_5 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_6 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_4_7 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_1 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_2 0.023972603 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_3 0.09473684199999999 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_4 0.713178295 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_5 0.932432432 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_6 0.8 - partnerships -
p_age_m_5_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_1 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_2 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_3 0.023972603 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_4 0.09473684199999999 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_5 0.713178295 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_6 0.932432432 - partnerships -
p_age_m_6_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_1 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_2 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_3 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_4 0.023972603 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_5 0.09473684199999999 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_6 0.713178295 - partnerships -
p_age_m_7_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_1_1 0.113636364 Age mixing matrix for women partnerships -
p_age_f_1_2 0.778329198 - partnerships -
p_age_f_1_3 0.891791045 - partnerships -
p_age_f_1_4 0.931034483 - partnerships -
p_age_f_1_5 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_1_6 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_1_7 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_1 0.0036523009999999997 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_2 0.113636364 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_3 0.778329198 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_4 0.891791045 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_5 0.931034483 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_6 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_2_7 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_1 0.001697073 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_2 0.005949851 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_3 0.27746900399999996 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_4 0.889349112 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_5 0.930481283 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_6 0.7692307690000001 - partnerships -
p_age_f_3_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_1 0.001708672 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_2 0.002139495 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_3 0.00728988 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_4 0.432829374 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_5 0.8979436409999999 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_6 0.9104477609999999 - partnerships -
p_age_f_4_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_1 0.0027662520000000003 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_2 0.002773925 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_3 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_4 0.015299026 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_5 0.535310734 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_6 0.8632218840000001 - partnerships -
p_age_f_5_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_1 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_2 0.0027662520000000003 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_3 0.002773925 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_4 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_5 0.015299026 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_6 0.535310734 - partnerships -
p_age_f_6_7 1.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_1 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_2 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_3 0.0027662520000000003 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_4 0.002773925 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_5 0.0 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_6 0.015299026 - partnerships -
p_age_f_7_7 1.0 - partnerships -
max_n_part_noage_low 1.0 Maximum number of concurrent partners for individuals in low activity level partnerships -
max_n_part_noage_med 3.0 Maximum number of concurrent partners for individuals in medium activity level partnerships -
max_n_part_noage_high 10.0 Maximum number of concurrent partners for individuals in high activity level partnerships -
breakup_scale_lambda_low_within_patch 13.7 Mean duration (in years) of low activity level partnerships partnerships -
breakup_scale_lambda_med_within_patch 6.9 Mean duration (in years) of medium activity level partnerships partnerships -
breakup_scale_lambda_high_within_patch 4.4 Mean duration (in years) of high activity level partnerships partnerships -
breakup_shape_k_low 1.0 Weibull scale factor chosen to be 1 so that duration of low activity level partnerships is exponential partnerships -
breakup_shape_k_med 1.0 Weibull scale factor chosen to be 1 so that duration of medium activity level partnerships is exponential partnerships -
breakup_shape_k_high 1.0 Weibull scale factor chosen to be 1 so that duration of high activity level partnerships is exponential partnerships -
breakup_scale_multiplier_overall 1.5 Multiplier scaling duration of all partnerships partnerships -
breakup_scale_multiplier_between_vs_within_patch 0.4 Multiplier scaling duration of partnerships between patches compared to within patches partnerships -
PC_Retention_Round1 1.0 Legacy parameter for population cohort retention at R1 (100%) PC -
PC_Retention_Round2 0.9 Legacy parameter for population cohort retention at R2 compared to R1 PC -
PC_Retention_Round3 0.9 Legacy parameter for population cohort retention at R3 compared to R2 PC -
PC_Retention_Round4 0.9 Legacy parameter for population cohort retention at R4 compared to R3 PC -
start_time_hiv 1975.0 Start of the HIV epidemic in the country times -
start_time_simul 1900.0 Start of simulation times -
end_time_simul 2020.0 End of simulation times -
COUNTRY_HIV_TEST_START 2000.0 Time when background HIV testing begins times -
COUNTRY_ART_START 2004.0 Time when ART first available times -
COUNTRY_CD4_350_START 2011.0 Time when ART guidelines changed to CD4<350 times -
COUNTRY_CD4_500_START 2014.5 Time when ART guidelines changed to CD4<500 (excluding PopART arm A communities) times -
COUNTRY_IMMEDIATE_ART_START 2016.3333 Time when ART guidelines changed to immediate treatment (excluding PopART arm A communities) times -
COUNTRY_VMMC_START 2010.0 Time when VMMC first available times -
CHIPS_YEAR1_START 2013.9375 Start of CHiPs round 1 times -
CHIPS_YEAR1_END 2015.5 End of CHiPs round 1 times -
CHIPS_YEAR2_START 2015.5 Start of CHiPs round 2 times -
CHIPS_YEAR2_END 2016.6666670000002 End of CHiPs round 2 times -
CHIPS_YEAR3_START 2016.7083329999998 Start of CHiPs round 3 times -
CHIPS_YEAR3_END 2017.9791670000002 End of CHiPs round 3 times -
DURATION_POST_TRIAL_ROUND 48.0 Number of timesteps in a post-trial CHiPs round (1 year) times -
NDHSROUNDS 3.0 Number of DHS rounds conducted in country times -
DHSROUND1 2002.0 Time of first DHS round times -
DHSROUND2 2007.0 Time of second DHS round times -
DHSROUND3 2013.0 Time of third DHS round times -