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jlubken committed Apr 30, 2020
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**Notice**: CHIME is a modified [SIR](https://mathworld.wolfram.com/SIRModel.html) model of outbreak progression that is limited to short term forecasting
**Notice**: CHIME is a modified [SIR](https://mathworld.wolfram.com/SIRModel.html) model of outbreak progression that is limited to short term forecasting.
It is only applicable during the period prior to a region’s peak infections, and it accounts only for a single significant social distancing policy.
Penn Medicine is actively developing [BayesCHIME](https://github.com/pennsignals/chime_sims/blob/master/README.md) to make use of more data and provide probabilistic forecasts beyond peak infections.
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