-
Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages in R 4.3.2 (on a new machine). This only gave minor numerical differences in the long-term forecasts of
vignette("CHILI_prophet")
. -
Accommodate restricted checks without suggested packages.
-
Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages in R 4.0.4, resulting in the following changes:
-
vignette("BNV")
: age-specific amplitude-shift parameter transformations were wrong insummary(mg_Cpower)
; bug fixed in surveillance 1.18.0. -
surveillance::pit()
values for degenerate forecasts with zero probability for observed counts may differ due to a change in surveillance 1.17.1 (they still produce warnings). -
vignette("CHILI_hhh4")
: no rounding ofn
from 213 to 210 in printedcalibrationTest()
(a bug fixed in R 3.6.0). -
vignette("CHILI_prophet")
: minor numerical differences in model fit and predictions due to changes in prophet.
-
-
Use standard PIT for continuous forecasts (
arima
,prophet
,naive
). Differences to the previously used non-randomized PIT histograms for count data are negligible. -
Add scores for discretized log-normal forecasts, via new function
scores_lnorm_discrete()
. These scores are almost identical to the continuous scores, essentially due to the large counts. -
Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages (forecast 8.5, glarma 1.6.0, hhh4contacts 0.13.0, prophet 0.4, scoringRules 0.9.5, surveillance 1.17.0) in R 3.5.3.
-
This is the version used for the book chapter.
-
The contained vignettes have been built using R 3.5.1 with all dependent packages' versions as of 25 July 2018 from CRAN. The versions of the main packages were:
- forecast 8.4
- glarma 1.6.0
- hhh4contacts 0.13.0
- prophet 0.3.0.1
- scoringRules 0.9.4
- surveillance 1.16.2