diff --git a/content/publication/smith2023probabilistic.md b/content/publication/smith2023probabilistic.md index 9e36886..d93713f 100644 --- a/content/publication/smith2023probabilistic.md +++ b/content/publication/smith2023probabilistic.md @@ -7,16 +7,16 @@ # 5 -> 'Thesis' title = "Probabilistic models of physical reasoning" -date = "2023-01-01" -year = "{in press}" +date = "2024-01-01" +year = "2024" authors = ["K. A. Smith","J. B. Hamrick","A. N. Sanborn","P. W. Battaglia","T. Gerstenberg","T. D. Ullman","J. B. Tenenbaum"] -publication_types = ["0", "4"] +publication_types = ["4"] publication_short = "_Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science_" -publication = "Smith K. A., Hamrick J. B., Sanborn A. N., Battaglia P. W., Gerstenberg T., Ullman T. D., Tenenbaum J. B. (in press). Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. In _Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science_." +publication = "Smith K. A., Hamrick J. B., Sanborn A. N., Battaglia P. W., Gerstenberg T., Ullman T. D., Tenenbaum J. B. (in press). Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. In _Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind_." image_preview = "" selected = false projects = [] -url_pdf = "papers/smith2023probabilistic.pdf" +url_pdf = "papers/smith2024probabilistic.pdf" url_preprint = "" url_code = "" url_dataset = "" @@ -24,7 +24,7 @@ url_slides = "" url_video = "" url_poster = "" url_source = "" -#url_custom = [{name = "Github", url = ""}] +url_custom = [{name = "Link", url = "https://mitpress.ublish.com/ebook/bayesian-models-of-cognition-reverse-engineering-the-mind-preview/12799/369"}] math = true highlight = true [header] diff --git a/docs/bibtex/cic_papers.bib b/docs/bibtex/cic_papers.bib index a06dc96..5d5b374 100644 --- a/docs/bibtex/cic_papers.bib +++ b/docs/bibtex/cic_papers.bib @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ %% This BibTeX bibliography file was created using BibDesk. %% https://bibdesk.sourceforge.io/ -%% Created for Tobias Gerstenberg at 2024-11-24 10:45:20 -0800 +%% Created for Tobias Gerstenberg at 2024-12-18 18:26:54 +0100 %% Saved with string encoding Unicode (UTF-8) @@ -505,15 +505,15 @@ @article{gong2023active bdsk-url-1 = {https://osf.io/jg2c5}, bdsk-url-2 = {https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/jg2c5}} -@incollection{smith2023probabilistic, +@incollection{smith2024probabilistic, author = {Kevin A. Smith and Jessica B. Hamrick and Adam N. Sanborn and Peter W. Battaglia and Tobias Gerstenberg and Tomer D. Ullman and Joshua B. Tenenbaum}, - booktitle = {Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science}, + booktitle = {Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind}, date-added = {2022-03-08 23:06:02 -0800}, - date-modified = {2023-10-15 13:46:44 -0700}, + date-modified = {2024-12-18 18:26:54 +0100}, editor = {Tom L. Griffiths and Nick Chater and Joshua B. Tenenbaum}, - publisher = {Mit Press}, + publisher = {MIT Press}, title = {Probabilistic models of physical reasoning}, - year = {{in press}}} + year = {2024}} @article{zhou2023jenga, abstract = {From building towers to picking an orange from a stack of fruit, assessing support is critical for successfully interacting with the physical world. But how do people determine whether one object supports another? In this paper we develop the Counterfactual Simulation Model (CSM) of physical support. The CSM predicts that people judge physical support by mentally simulating what would happen to a scene if the object of interest were removed. Three experiments test the model by asking one group of participants to judge what would happen to a tower if one of the blocks were removed, and another group of participants how responsible that block was for the tower's stability. The CSM accurately captures participants' predictions about what would happen by running noisy simulations that incorporate different sources of uncertainty. Participants' responsibility judgments are closely related to counterfactual predictions: the more likely the tower would be predicted to fall if a block were removed, the more responsible this block was judged for the tower's stability. By construing physical support as preventing from falling, the CSM provides a unified account across dynamic and static physical scenes of how causal judgments arise from the process of counterfactual simulation.}, diff --git a/docs/home/index.xml b/docs/home/index.xml index da6ac1e..288286b 100644 --- a/docs/home/index.xml +++ b/docs/home/index.xml @@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ Causality in Cognition Lab https://cicl.stanford.edu/home/home/ - Sun, 15 Oct 2017 00:00:00 -0700 + Sun, 15 Oct 2017 00:00:00 +0200 https://cicl.stanford.edu/home/home/ The Causality in Cognition Lab at Stanford University studies the role of causality in our understanding of the world and of each other. @@ -53,7 +53,7 @@ We are looking to hire a lab manager to start in the fall of 2018. For informati Selected<br>publications https://cicl.stanford.edu/home/publications_selected/ - Wed, 20 Apr 2016 00:00:00 -0700 + Wed, 20 Apr 2016 00:00:00 +0200 https://cicl.stanford.edu/home/publications_selected/ diff --git a/docs/member/tobias_gerstenberg/index.html b/docs/member/tobias_gerstenberg/index.html index 969e425..3ce20f3 100644 --- a/docs/member/tobias_gerstenberg/index.html +++ b/docs/member/tobias_gerstenberg/index.html @@ -1268,6 +1268,49 @@

Publications

+

+ + +
+ + + (2024). + + Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. + Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science. + + + + +

+ + + + + + + PDF + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + + Link + + +

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diff --git a/static/papers/smith2023probabilistic.pdf b/docs/papers/smith2024probabilistic.pdf similarity index 100% rename from static/papers/smith2023probabilistic.pdf rename to docs/papers/smith2024probabilistic.pdf diff --git a/docs/publication/index.html b/docs/publication/index.html index 5a80733..fbd1e9e 100644 --- a/docs/publication/index.html +++ b/docs/publication/index.html @@ -2909,6 +2909,61 @@

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+ +
+ + + (2024). + + Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. + Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science. + + + + +

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- - - (2023). - - Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. - Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science. - - - - -

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diff --git a/docs/publication/index.xml b/docs/publication/index.xml index f71e9d7..1f6a38c 100644 --- a/docs/publication/index.xml +++ b/docs/publication/index.xml @@ -183,6 +183,15 @@ + + Probabilistic models of physical reasoning + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ + Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 + + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ + + + Anticipating the risks and benefits of counterfactual world simulation models https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/kirfel2023anticipating/ @@ -363,15 +372,6 @@ - - Probabilistic models of physical reasoning - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ - Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000 - - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ - - - What would have happened? Counterfactuals, hypotheticals, and causal judgments https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/gerstenberg2022hypothetical/ diff --git a/docs/publication/smith2023probabilistic/index.html b/docs/publication/smith2023probabilistic/index.html index f15dba7..1568768 100644 --- a/docs/publication/smith2023probabilistic/index.html +++ b/docs/publication/smith2023probabilistic/index.html @@ -111,9 +111,9 @@ - + - + @@ -256,13 +256,31 @@

Probabilistic models of physical reasoni +
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Smith K. A., Hamrick J. B., Sanborn A. N., Battaglia P. W., Gerstenberg T., Ullman T. D., Tenenbaum J. B. (in press). Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. In Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science.
+
Smith K. A., Hamrick J. B., Sanborn A. N., Battaglia P. W., Gerstenberg T., Ullman T. D., Tenenbaum J. B. (in press). Probabilistic models of physical reasoning. In Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind.
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Probabilistic models of physical reasoni
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Probabilistic models of physical reasoni - + PDF @@ -312,6 +330,10 @@

Probabilistic models of physical reasoni + + Link + +

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Probabilistic models of physical reasoning

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Probabilistic programs as a unifying language of thought

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Probabilistic models of physical reasoning

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Probabilistic models of physical reasoning

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Probabilistic programs as a unifying language of thought

diff --git a/docs/publication_types/4/index.xml b/docs/publication_types/4/index.xml index 2712da3..cf09524 100644 --- a/docs/publication_types/4/index.xml +++ b/docs/publication_types/4/index.xml @@ -7,26 +7,26 @@ Hugo -- gohugo.io en-us &copy; 2024 Tobias Gerstenberg - Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:00:00 +0000 + Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 - Probabilistic programs as a unifying language of thought - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/goodman2023probabilistic/ - Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:00:00 +0000 + Probabilistic models of physical reasoning + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ + Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/goodman2023probabilistic/ + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ - Probabilistic models of physical reasoning - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ - Sun, 01 Jan 2023 00:00:00 +0000 + Probabilistic programs as a unifying language of thought + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/goodman2023probabilistic/ + Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:00:00 +0000 - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/goodman2023probabilistic/ diff --git a/docs/publication_types/index.html b/docs/publication_types/index.html index 4a5bc78..06a2f23 100644 --- a/docs/publication_types/index.html +++ b/docs/publication_types/index.html @@ -260,14 +260,14 @@

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diff --git a/docs/publication_types/index.xml b/docs/publication_types/index.xml index 986bd95..671787c 100644 --- a/docs/publication_types/index.xml +++ b/docs/publication_types/index.xml @@ -40,20 +40,20 @@ - 0 - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/0/ - Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:00:00 +0000 + 4 + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/4/ + Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/0/ + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/4/ - 4 - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/4/ + 0 + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/0/ Fri, 20 Oct 2023 00:00:00 +0000 - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/4/ + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/0/ diff --git a/docs/sitemap.xml b/docs/sitemap.xml index 2d39cb7..1c61a0d 100644 --- a/docs/sitemap.xml +++ b/docs/sitemap.xml @@ -198,6 +198,23 @@ + + + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/4/ + 2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00 + 0 + + + + + + + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ + 2024-01-01T00:00:00+00:00 + + + + https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/kirfel2023anticipating/ @@ -257,15 +274,6 @@ - - - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication_types/4/ - 2023-10-20T00:00:00+00:00 - 0 - - - - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/nie2023moca/ @@ -421,14 +429,6 @@ - - - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/smith2023probabilistic/ - 2023-01-01T00:00:00+00:00 - - - - https://cicl.stanford.edu/publication/gerstenberg2022hypothetical/ diff --git a/static/bibtex/cic_papers.bib b/static/bibtex/cic_papers.bib index a06dc96..5d5b374 100644 --- a/static/bibtex/cic_papers.bib +++ b/static/bibtex/cic_papers.bib @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ %% This BibTeX bibliography file was created using BibDesk. %% https://bibdesk.sourceforge.io/ -%% Created for Tobias Gerstenberg at 2024-11-24 10:45:20 -0800 +%% Created for Tobias Gerstenberg at 2024-12-18 18:26:54 +0100 %% Saved with string encoding Unicode (UTF-8) @@ -505,15 +505,15 @@ @article{gong2023active bdsk-url-1 = {https://osf.io/jg2c5}, bdsk-url-2 = {https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/jg2c5}} -@incollection{smith2023probabilistic, +@incollection{smith2024probabilistic, author = {Kevin A. Smith and Jessica B. Hamrick and Adam N. Sanborn and Peter W. Battaglia and Tobias Gerstenberg and Tomer D. Ullman and Joshua B. Tenenbaum}, - booktitle = {Reverse engineering the mind: The Bayesian approach to cognitive science}, + booktitle = {Bayesian Models of Cognition: Reverse Engineering the Mind}, date-added = {2022-03-08 23:06:02 -0800}, - date-modified = {2023-10-15 13:46:44 -0700}, + date-modified = {2024-12-18 18:26:54 +0100}, editor = {Tom L. Griffiths and Nick Chater and Joshua B. Tenenbaum}, - publisher = {Mit Press}, + publisher = {MIT Press}, title = {Probabilistic models of physical reasoning}, - year = {{in press}}} + year = {2024}} @article{zhou2023jenga, abstract = {From building towers to picking an orange from a stack of fruit, assessing support is critical for successfully interacting with the physical world. But how do people determine whether one object supports another? In this paper we develop the Counterfactual Simulation Model (CSM) of physical support. The CSM predicts that people judge physical support by mentally simulating what would happen to a scene if the object of interest were removed. Three experiments test the model by asking one group of participants to judge what would happen to a tower if one of the blocks were removed, and another group of participants how responsible that block was for the tower's stability. The CSM accurately captures participants' predictions about what would happen by running noisy simulations that incorporate different sources of uncertainty. Participants' responsibility judgments are closely related to counterfactual predictions: the more likely the tower would be predicted to fall if a block were removed, the more responsible this block was judged for the tower's stability. By construing physical support as preventing from falling, the CSM provides a unified account across dynamic and static physical scenes of how causal judgments arise from the process of counterfactual simulation.}, diff --git a/static/papers/smith2024probabilistic.pdf b/static/papers/smith2024probabilistic.pdf new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6a8c6ea Binary files /dev/null and b/static/papers/smith2024probabilistic.pdf differ