Skip to content

Latest commit

 

History

History
123 lines (96 loc) · 2.11 KB

market-questions.md

File metadata and controls

123 lines (96 loc) · 2.11 KB

General Market Questions

Market Analysis Tools and Templates

Present a Trading Idea/Explain Market Behavior

  1. Conclusion
    1. direction, horizon
  2. Analysis
    1. what phonomenon
      1. metrics
        1. Performance Metrics
          1. absolute: return/gain, risk, Sharpe, P/E
          2. horizontal:
            • vs. other sector/markets/countries
            • distribution
          3. vertical: historical percentile
    2. explain the phonomenon and make predictions
      1. what data
      2. driver
        1. fundamental
          • trade and company tax
        2. macroeconomical
          • capital flow
          • monetary policy and yield curve
        3. behavioral
          • trading volume, etc
        4. historical similar events
      3. from model/consensus
    3. trade horizon analysis
  3. Otherside
    1. risk
    2. sensitivity analysis
    3. risk control/hedging strategies

Common Market Knowledge

  • Fed-meeting (FOMC) times and global central bank meeting time
  • Economic Data Calendar
    • GDP related
    • Non-farm payroll
    • Employement

Key benchmark levels

Equity

  • VIX, VXX
  • DJI
  • DDM
  • SPX
  • SPY
  • IXIC
  • QQQ
  • FTSE
  • MSCI World
  • EAFE
  • EFA
  • DAX
  • EEM
  • EWY (South Korean)
  • FXI (Russia)
  • RSX (China)

FX

  • USD
  • FXE
  • FXY

Bond

  • 1-Yr, 10-Yr, 20-Yr Treasury Rates
  • TLT
  • HYG

Commod

  • GLD
  • SLV

Derivatives/Hedge Funds

  • UVXY
  • HFRX

Market Analysis

  1. Information Collection
    1. Trading Journal + Error Log Check
    2. Ideas/News
      1. Economic Outlook
      2. Market Levels
      3. Market Sentiment (VIX, Fear Index)
      4. Company Theme
    3. Market Analysis
      1. market drivers
  2. Customized Analytics
  3. Formulate Questions and Try to find answers
    1. Trading Logic
      1. Facts + Prediction
      2. any test?
    2. Risk Analysis
      1. ex-ante, ex-post
    3. Target Exposure

Tell the story

  • time and events
    • macro economic outlook (theme + data)
    • major market drivers (asset class/currency, theme) : where the money is flowing to?

Advanced