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title: Note on Optimization author: Keith A. Lewis institute: KALX, LLC classoption: fleqn fleqn: true ...

\newcommand\RR{\boldsymbol{R}}

One-Period Model

Let $I$ be a set of instruments. The one period model is a vector $x\in\RR^I$, indicating prices at the begining of the period, and a vector-valued function $X\colon\Omega\to\RR^I$, where $X(\omega)$ are the prices at the end of the period given $\omega\in\Omega$ occured. A portfolio is a vector $\xi\in\RR^I$. Its realized return is $R_\xi = \xi'X/\xi'x$ whenever $\xi'x\neq 0$.

Arbitrage exists if there is portfolio $\xi\in\RR^I$ with $\xi'x < 0$ and $\xi'X(\omega)\ge0$ for all $\omega\in\Omega$. The FTAP states there is no arbitrage if and only if $x$ belongs to the smallest closed cone containing the range of $X$. If $X$ is bounded, then this is the case if and only if $x = \int_\Omega X(\omega),d\pi(\omega)$ for some positive finitely-additive measure $\pi\in ba(\Omega)$. Note $\Pi = \pi/|\pi|$ is a probability measure. Letting $R = 1/|\pi|$ we have $x = E[X]/R$ under the measure $\Pi$. There may be many such risk-neutral measures.

Exercise. If $\zeta'X = 1$ for some $\zeta\in\RR^I$ then $R\zeta = R = 1/|\pi|$ is constant_.

Exercise. $R\xi<0$ on $\Omega$ if and only if $\xi$ is an arbitrage portfolio._

Binomial Model

The binomial model consists of a bond with realized return $R$ over the period and a stock with initial price $s$ that can take the values $L$ or $H$ at the end of the period. Let $x = (1, s)$ be the initial prices and $X(\omega) = (R, \omega)$, $\omega\in{L, H}$ be the final prices.

Exercise. The model is arbitrage-free if and only if $L \le Rs \le H$.

Optimization

In order to perform optimization it is neccesary to specify a, so called, real world probability measure on $\Omega$.

Exercise. Show $\max{\xi\in\RR^I} E[R_\xi]$ is infinity unless $x = cE[X]$ for some scalar $c$_.

If the measure is risk-neutral then every portfolio has the same realized return.

To compute $\max_{\xi\in\RR^I} E[\log R_\xi]$ we can use Lagrange multipliers and maximize $$ F(\xi,\lambda) = E[\log \xi'X] - \lambda(\xi'x - 1). $$ The first order condition is $$ 0 = E[X/\xi'X] - \lambda x. $$ Since the dimension of $x$ equals the dimension of $\xi$ this has a unique solution in general.

Exercise. Find the optimum for the binomial model.