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FRIDA.stmx
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FRIDA.stmx
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<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?>
<xmile version="1.0" xmlns="http://docs.oasis-open.org/xmile/ns/XMILE/v1.0" xmlns:isee="http://iseesystems.com/XMILE">
<header>
<smile version="1.0" namespace="std, isee" uses_arrays="2" uses_conveyor="" uses_submodels=""/>
<name>FRIDA</name>
<uuid>26eef8bf-e63f-470b-b03e-68b19ca0de72</uuid>
<vendor>isee systems, inc.</vendor>
<product version="3.7.3" isee:build_number="3457" isee:saved_by_v1="true" lang="en">Stella Architect</product>
</header>
<sim_specs isee:sim_duration="0" isee:run_prefix="Run" isee:simulation_delay="0" isee:restore_on_start="false" isee:save_interval="1" method="RK4" time_units="Year" isee:instantaneous_flows="false" isee:ignore_module_errors="false" isee:strict_units="false" isee:loop_scores="false" isee:loop_exhaustive_allowed="1000">
<start>1980</start>
<stop>2130</stop>
<dt reciprocal="true">8</dt>
</sim_specs>
<dimensions>
<dim name="ClimateCase" size="100"/>
<dim name="Coastal_Protection_level">
<elem name="insufficient"/>
<elem name="well_protected"/>
</dim>
<dim name="EnergySource">
<elem name="Coal_fuel_extraction"/>
<elem name="Coal_energy_conversion"/>
<elem name="Oil_fuel_extraction"/>
<elem name="Oil_energy_conversion"/>
<elem name="Gas_fuel_extraction"/>
<elem name="Gas_energy_conversion"/>
<elem name="Solar_and_Wind"/>
<elem name="Hydropower"/>
<elem name="Other"/>
<elem name="Nuclear"/>
<elem name="Bio"/>
</dim>
<dim name="FossilFuelTypes">
<elem name="Gas"/>
<elem name="Oil"/>
<elem name="Coal"/>
</dim>
<dim name="Future_Decades" size="9"/>
<dim name="Historical_5yr_time_steps" size="9"/>
<dim name="Historical_Decades" size="4"/>
<dim name="labouExposureLevel">
<elem name="No_Exposure"/>
<elem name="Low_Exposure"/>
<elem name="High_Exposure"/>
</dim>
<dim name="PCTILE">
<elem name="Low"/>
<elem name="P25"/>
<elem name="Median"/>
<elem name="P75"/>
<elem name="High"/>
</dim>
<dim name="PopCohortLen10" size="10"/>
<dim name="PopCohortLen19" size="19"/>
<dim name="PopCohortLen20" size="20"/>
<dim name="PopCohortLen25" size="25"/>
<dim name="PopCohortLen5" size="5"/>
<dim name="Renewable_Age_Group" size="7"/>
<dim name="Run" size="1"/>
</dimensions>
<isee:prefs live_at_start="true" saved_runs="100" keep="false" show_module_prefix="true" live_update_on_drag="true" show_restore_buttons="false" layer="model" isee:design="Deluxe Prev-Next Blue Green Pastel" isee:design_custom="false" interface_scale_ui="true" interface_max_page_width="10000" interface_max_page_height="10000" interface_min_page_width="0" interface_min_page_height="0" rerun_on_structure_change="false" rifp="true">
<isee:ignored_words>
<isee:ignored_word>WolrdTrans</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>WorldTrans</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>IAM</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>FRIDA</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>IAMs</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>Sectorized</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>INvestment</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>Edenhofer</isee:ignored_word>
<isee:ignored_word>hydropower</isee:ignored_word>
</isee:ignored_words>
</isee:prefs>
<isee:multiplayer_settings include_chat="true" allow_observers="false" advance_time_increment="1" max_advance_time_in_ms="0" model_stops_when_players_drop="false" observer_start_page="home_page" enabled="false"/>
<isee:time_formats default_format="Builtin">
<isee:time_format name="Builtin" type="adaptive"/>
</isee:time_formats>
<isee:number_format_extenders/>
<default_format scale_by="1"/>
<data>
<import enabled="false" isee:overwrite="false" isee:timevarying="true" resource="r../Data/forcings_1750_2300.csv"/>
<import enabled="false" frequency="on_demand" isee:overwrite="true" resource="r../Data/uncertainity_parameters.csv"/>
<import enabled="false" frequency="on_demand" isee:overwrite="true" resource="r../Data/frida_climate_inputs_100_from_100000.csv"/>
<import enabled="false" frequency="on_demand" isee:overwrite="true" resource="r../Data/frida_climate_inputs_constant_stocks.csv"/>
</data>
<isee:sensi_specs_list active_index="2">
<isee:sensi_specs name="Calibration Uncertainity" method="sobol_sequence" runs="1000">
<isee:variable starting_value="1" ending_value="100" type="incremental" min="1" max="100" seed="12345" name="Climate_Units.selected_climate_case[1]" num_samples="100"/>
<isee:variable type="uniform" min="0.1" max="1.1" name="Finance.sensitivity_of_effect_of_sta_on_failure_rate[1]" num_samples="5"/>
<isee:threshold payoff="Full Payoff Sans Climate" val="8000"/>
</isee:sensi_specs>
<isee:sensi_specs name="Climate Sensitivity" method="grid">
<isee:variable starting_value="1" ending_value="100" type="incremental" min="1" max="100" seed="12345" name="Climate_Units.selected_climate_case[1]" num_samples="100"/>
</isee:sensi_specs>
<isee:sensi_specs name="Sensitivity" method="external" path="r../Data/external_sensi.csv">
<isee:variable type="adhoc" name="Climate_Units.selected_climate_case[1]"/>
<isee:variable type="adhoc" name="Finance.sensitivity_of_effect_of_sta_on_failure_rate[1]"/>
</isee:sensi_specs>
</isee:sensi_specs_list>
<isee:optimizer_specs_list active_index="10">
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Demographics Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.infant_mortality_alpha" scaling="100000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.infant_mortality_gamma" scaling="100000"/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."1_to_20_mortality_alpha"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."1_to_20_mortality_gamma"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."20_to_40_mortality_alpha"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."20_to_40_mortality_gamma"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."40_to_60_mortality_alpha"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."40_to_60_mortality_gamma"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."60_to_65_mortality_alpha"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."60_to_65_mortality_gamma"'/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.Over_75_mortality_alpha"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.Over_75_mortality_gamma"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.averaging_time"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.effect_of_GDP_on_female_population_literacy_percentage_scale_factor" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.effect_of_GDP_on_female_population_literacy_percentage_constant" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.sensitivity_of_fertility_to_literacy" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.initial_fertility" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.time_to_change_fertility" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."65_to_75_mortality_alpha"'/>
<isee:parameter name='Demographics."65_to_75_mortality_gamma"'/>
<isee:payoff name="Population Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Emissions Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:payoff name="Emissions Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Fertility calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0">
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.initial_fertility"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.effect_of_GDP_on_female_population_literacy_percentage_scale_factor"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.effect_of_GDP_on_female_population_literacy_percentage_constant"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.sensitivity_of_fertility_to_inverse_GDP_per_person"/>
<isee:parameter name="Demographics.sensitivity_of_fertility_to_literacy"/>
<isee:payoff name="Fertility payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="HFC134a calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0">
<isee:payoff name="HFC134a emissions" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Energy Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.Renewable_Energy_Floor_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.Initial_Renewable_Energy_Installation_Costs" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="hydropower_energy.Base_Hydropower_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name='hydropower_energy."Slope_of_Hydropwer_Instllation_Costs_wrt._Capacity"' scaling="10000000"/>
<isee:parameter name="other_energy.Initial_Other_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="other_energy.Floor_of_Other_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="energy_investments.historical_cost_adjustment[*, *]" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.stepping_on_toes_parameter_in_renewable_energy_sector" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.Renewable_Energy_Learning_Rate" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.initial_fossil_extraction_knowledge"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.productivity_per_extractionknowledge" scaling="100000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.initial_fossil_extraction_knowledge"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.productivity_per_extractionknowledge" scaling="100000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.initial_fossil_extraction_knowledge"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.productivity_per_extractionknowledge" scaling="100000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.carbon_intensity_in_btu" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.carbon_intensity_in_btu" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.carbon_intensity_in_btu" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.initial_fossil_energy_capital" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.initial_fossil_fuel_extraction_capital" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.initial_fossil_energy_capital" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.initial_fossil_fuel_extraction_capital" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.initial_fossil_energy_capital" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.initial_fossil_fuel_extraction_capital" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.TFP_Slope_Start"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.TFP_Max_Ramp_Year"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.TFP_Ramp_Speed" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.TFP_Max_Ramp_Year"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.TFP_Ramp_Speed" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.TFP_Slope_Start"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.TFP_Max_Ramp_Year"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.TFP_Slope_Start"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.TFP_Ramp_Speed" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:payoff name="Energy Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Energy Calibration Without Initials" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.Renewable_Energy_Floor_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.Initial_Renewable_Energy_Installation_Costs" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="hydropower_energy.Base_Hydropower_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name='hydropower_energy."Slope_of_Hydropwer_Instllation_Costs_wrt._Capacity"' scaling="10000000"/>
<isee:parameter name="other_energy.Initial_Other_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="other_energy.Floor_of_Other_Installation_Costs" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="energy_investments.historical_cost_adjustment[*, *]" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.stepping_on_toes_parameter_in_renewable_energy_sector" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="wind_and_solar_energy.Renewable_Energy_Learning_Rate" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.TFP_Slope_Start"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.TFP_Max_Ramp_Year"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.TFP_Ramp_Speed" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.TFP_Max_Ramp_Year"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.TFP_Ramp_Speed" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.TFP_Slope_Start"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.TFP_Max_Ramp_Year"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.TFP_Slope_Start"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.TFP_Ramp_Speed" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_oil.carbon_intensity_in_btu" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_gas.carbon_intensity_in_btu" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="fossil_energy_coal.carbon_intensity_in_btu" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="nuclear_energy.Floor_of_Nuclear_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="nuclear_energy.Ceiling_of_Nuclear_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="nuclear_energy.Slope_of_Nuclear_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="nuclear_energy.Intercept_Nuclear_Installation_Costs"/>
<isee:parameter name="other_energy.Learning_Rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="bio_fuel_energy.Learning_Rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="bio_fuel_energy.Floor_Costs" scaling="1e-7"/>
<isee:parameter name="bio_fuel_energy.Initial_Installation_Costs" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:payoff name="Energy Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Energy Other and biofuel" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="energy_investments.historical_cost_adjustment[Bio, *]" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="bio_fuel_energy.bio_fuel_primary_energy_content" min="0.000001" max="0.0001" scaling="1000000"/>
<isee:parameter name="bio_fuel_energy.Initial_Installation_Costs" min="1000000000" max="100000000000" scaling="1e-11"/>
<isee:parameter name="bio_fuel_energy.Learning_Rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:payoff name="Energy Other and Bio Payoff" action="min"/>
<isee:payoff name="Energy Payoff" action="min" inactive="true"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Energy Cost Adjustments" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="energy_investments.historical_cost_adjustment[*, *]"/>
<isee:payoff name="Energy Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Behavioral Change Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.sensitivity_of_demand_to_consumption" min="0" max="1" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.sensitivity_of_demand_to_relative_scarcity" min="0" max="1" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.sensitivity_of_personal_norm_to_climate_risk" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.sensitivity_of_personal_norm_to_consumption_risk" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.sensitivity_of_personal_norm_to_social_value" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_horizon_for_long_term_perception" min="20" max="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_horizon_for_short_term_perception" min="1" max="20"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_to_adjust_consumption_pattern" min="1" max="10" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_to_adjust_value_perception" min="1" max="10" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_to_observe_consequences" min="10" max="30" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_to_perceive_average_consumption" min="1" max="5" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.time_to_perceive_change_in_accessibility" min="1" max="5" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.sensitivity_to_climate_extremes" min="0" max="1" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.sensitivity_to_climate_information" min="0" max="1" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.additional_time_horizon_of_reference_climate_related_disasters" min="10" max="100" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.additional_time_horizon_of_reference_temperature_anomaly" min="10" max="100" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.time_to_report_climate_information" min="1" max="10" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.time_to_perceive_climate_extremes_exposure" max="10" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Climate_Risk_Perception.time_to_perceive_temperature_anomaly" max="10" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.average_daily_demand_per_capita_in_1980" min="350" max="400"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products_Demand.initial_fraction_of_animal_products_in_diet" min="0.15" max="0.3" scaling="10"/>
<isee:payoff name="Behavioral Change Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Energy Demand" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" init_step="0.001">
<isee:parameter name="energy_demand.effect_of_GDP_on_per_person_use_of_energy_alpha" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="energy_demand.normal_per_person_use_of_energy" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="energy_demand.effect_of_GDP_on_per_person_use_of_energy_beta" scaling="100"/>
<isee:payoff name="Energy Demand" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Carbon Balance Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="Crop.sensitivity_of_effect_of_crop_yield_on_harvest_index" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.sensitivity_of_effect_of_crop_residue_production_on_field_fraction" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Forest.CO2_tree_net_primary_production_parameter" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Grass.CO2_grass_net_primary_production_parameter" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.normal_average_cutting_time" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.normal_average_time_cropland_in_use" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.percent_of_forest_recovering_in_1980" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Grass.grass_net_primary_production_in_1980" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Grass.GtC_per_PCal_of_grazing_multiplier" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Grass.STA_grass_net_primary_production_parameter" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Grass.STA_squared_grass_net_primary_production" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Forest.STA_tree_net_primary_production_parameter" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Forest.STA_squared_tree_net_primary_production" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.natural_decay_rate_fast_soil_carbon" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.natural_decay_rate_slow_soil_carbon" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.natural_decay_rate_litter_carbon" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.temp_response"/>
<isee:parameter name="forest_soil_carbon.forest_soil_carbon_initialisation" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="cropland_soil_carbon.cropland_soil_carbon_1980" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="grassland_soil_carbon.grassland_soil_carbon_1980" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.grassland_litter_input_share_slow_soil_carbon" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.grassland_slow_soil_carbon_historic_share" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Forest.tree_net_primary_production_in_1980" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.cropland_litter_input_share_slow_soil_carbon" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.cropland_slow_soil_carbon_historic_share" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.young_forest_litter_input_share_slow_soil_carbon" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.young_forest_slow_soil_carbon_historic_share" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.mature_forest_litter_input_share_slow_soil_carbon" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.mature_forest_slow_soil_carbon_historic_share" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="soil_carbon_decay.e0" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Forest.forest_aboveground_biomass_1980" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Forest.Young_mature_forest_biomass_ratio" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.forest_recovery_time"/>
<isee:payoff name="Carbon Balance Payoff" action="min"/>
<isee:payoff name="Land Use and Agriculture Payoff" action="min" inactive="true"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Ocean C cycle" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" init_step="0.01" maxiter="0">
<isee:payoff name="Ocean C cycle payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Concrete Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.TIME_TO_ADJUST_DESIRED_FLOOR_AREA" min="2" max="30" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.TIME_TO_ADJUST_DESIRED_INFRASTRUCTURE_AREA" min="1" max="10" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.UFA_alpha" min="1" max="45" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.UFA_intercept" min="-300" max="-50"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INIT_CONCRETE_IN_NEW_BUILDINGS" min="20000" max="70000" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INIT_CONCRETE_IN_NEW_INFRASTRUCTURE" min="1000" max="16000" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INIT_CONCRETE_IN_OLD_BUILDINGS" min="20000" max="80000" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INIT_CONCRETE_IN_OLD_INFRASTRUCTURE" min="1000" max="15000" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.BASE_AVERAGE_LIFETIME_OF_BUILDINGS" min="75" max="200" scaling="0.1"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.BASE_AVERAGE_LIFETIME_OF_INFRASTRUCTURE" min="40" max="150" scaling="0.1"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.GAP_ADJUSTMENT_TIME_FOR_BUILDINGS" min="0.5" max="20" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.GAP_ADJUSTMENT_TIME_FOR_INFRASTRUCTURE" min="0.5" max="10" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.NORMAL_CONCRETE_DETERIORATION_RATE" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INTERCEPT2" min="165310" max="322082" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INFRA_ALPHA" min="-28396" max="-19206" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INFRA_BETA" min="-51.789" max="-34.491" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.INFRA_GAMMA" min="4.48" max="6.824" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.CO2_INTENSITY_OF_RS_BUILDINGS_CONCRETE" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Concrete.CO2_INTENSITY_OF_INFRASTRUCTURE_CONCRETE" scaling="10"/>
<isee:payoff name="Concrete Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Land Use and Agriculture Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" maxiter="0">
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products.sensitivity_of_effect_of_animal_products_balance_on_yield_intensification"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products.elasticity_of_aquatic_animal_product_share_to_GDP_per_person" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products.aquatic_animal_product_share_1980" scaling="10000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products.average_animal_product_growth_efficiency" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products.Animal_Products_Yield_in_1980" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Animal_Products.time_to_change_yield" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Food_Demand.elasticity_of_food_demand_to_GDP_per_person" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Food_Demand.direct_food_demand_per_person_per_day_1980" scaling="0.1"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.non_agricultural_water_withdrawal_1980" scaling="1e-8"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.elasticity_of_non_agricultural_water_withdrawal_per_capita_to_GDP_per_person" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.sensitivity_of_effect_of_available_water_supply_on_land_irrigated" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.water_withdrawal_per_MHa_irrigated_1980" scaling="1e-10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.rate_of_change_in_irrigation_efficiency" scaling="1000000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.initial_available_water_supply" scaling="0.000001"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.sensitivity_of_pressure_to_expand_water_supply_to_available_water_supply" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.technological_water_discovery_1980" scaling="1e-8"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.rate_of_change_in_technological_water_discovery" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.sensitivity_of_fraction_of_cropland_irrigated_indicated_to_GDP_per_person" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.base_fraction_of_cropland_irrigated" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Freshwater.initial_fraction_of_unsustainable_water_withdrawal" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Nutrients.elasticity_of_effect_of_animal_products_on_manure_fertilizer_use" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Nutrients.sensitivity_demand_to_relative_use" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Nutrients.sensitivity_of_fertilizer_use_to_crop_balance_with_reserves" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Sea_Level.initial_SLR_from_LWS" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Sea_Level.Water_catchment_per_GW_of_hydropower" scaling="0.000001"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.time_to_close_grassland_gap" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.elasticity_of_effect_of_animal_products_yield_on_fraction_of_grassland_degrading" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.elasticity_of_effect_of_crop_yield_on_fraction_cropland_degrading" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.fraction_of_new_cropland_from_forests" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.fraction_of_depleting_cropland_to_grassland" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.cropland_expansion_time" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.fraction_of_grassland_for_grazing" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.sensitivity_of_effect_of_crop_balance_on_crop_land_expansion_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.sensitivity_of_effect_of_animal_products_balance_on_grassland_expansion_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.percent_of_forest_recovering_in_1980" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.normal_average_cutting_time" scaling="0.1"/>
<isee:parameter name="Land_Use.normal_average_time_cropland_in_use" scaling="0.1"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.desired_crop_reserve_capacity" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.sensitivity_of_effect_of_crop_yield_on_harvest_index" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.sensitivity_of_effect_of_crop_residue_production_on_field_fraction" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.soil_carbon_crop_yield_parameter" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.irrigation_crop_yield_parameter"/>
<isee:parameter name="Crop.fertilizer_use_crop_yield_parameter" scaling="100"/>
<isee:payoff name="Land Use and Agriculture Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Economy Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0" tolerance="0.000001" init_step="5" maxiter="0" stoponerr="true">
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.desired_savings_as_multiple_of_profits" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.time_to_consider_desired_savings" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.time_to_reach_savings_goal" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.desired_savings_as_multiple_of_wages" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.GDP_perception_time" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.initial_risk_premium" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.loan_maturation_time"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.elasticity_of_desired_bank_growth_rate_to_changes_in_lending_standards" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.time_to_change_lending_standards" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.max_change_in_lending_standards" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.reporting_delay" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.bank_expectation_formation_time"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.normal_failure_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.max_change_in_failure_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.elasticity_of_bankruptcy_rate_on_risk_premium" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.normal_public_consumption_to_transfers_ratio" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.wage_tax_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.profit_tax_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.normal_investment_share_of_public_expenditure" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.sensitivity_of_failure_rate_to_investment_to_gdp_ratio" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.max_change_in_fractional_wage_growth" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.hiring_to_investment_ratio" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.labour_force_participation_fixed" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.time_to_pay_out_profits" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_cropland_inflation_contribution" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_fertilizer_used_per_unit_of_crop_production" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_grazing_land_inflation_contribution" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_irrigation_water_used_per_unit_of_crop_production_inflation_contribution" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_marginal_energy_cost_inflation" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.max_change_in_bank_investment_as_fraction_of_normal" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.initial_inflation_index" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.initial_unemployment_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.initial_inflation_rate" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.initial_safe_interest" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Innovation.sensitivity_of_innovation_decrease_to_cash_growth" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Innovation.sensitivity_of_firms_innovation_orientation_to_cash_deceleration" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Innovation.normal_time_to_decrease_innovation_orientation" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.time_for_safe_loans_that_will_fail_to_actually_fail"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.threshold_unemployment_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.Initial_Wage_Rate" scaling="0.001"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.time_seeking_employees" min="1" max="3" scaling="1000"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.initial_good_loans" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.Initial_safe_assets" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.initial_bad_loans"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.initial_bank_investment" scaling="0.1"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.initial_owner_savings" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.initial_firms_checking_accounts" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Circular_Flow.initial_worker_savings" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.initial_government_debt" scaling="0.01"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.Agriculture_share_of_GDP_intercept" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.agriculture_share_of_GDP_starting_point_determinant" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.agriculture_share_of_GDP_slope" scaling="10"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.sensitivity_of_hiring_to_unemployment_rate"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.max_firing_percentage" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.deflation_adjustment_time"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.initial_bank_investment_growth_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.averaging_time_to_adjust_tax_based_on_income" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.maximum_effect_of_debt_to_GDP_ratio_on_government_spending" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Government.sensitivity_of_STA_on_public_consumption" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Finance.sensitivity_of_effect_of_sta_on_failure_rate[1]" scaling="100"/>
<isee:payoff name="Economic Payoff" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Employment Sector Shares" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0">
<isee:parameter name="Employment.share_of_employment_in_agriculture_intercept"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.share_of_employment_in_agriculture_slope"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.share_of_employment_in_industry_intercept"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.share_of_employment_in_industry_slope"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.share_of_employment_in_services_intercept"/>
<isee:parameter name="Employment.share_of_employment_in_services_slope"/>
<isee:payoff name="Employment Sector Shares" action="min"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
<isee:optimizer_specs name="Inflation Calibration" method="Powell" use_additional_starts_file="false" additional_starts="0" report_interval="1" confidence_range="0">
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_cropland_inflation_contribution" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_fertilizer_used_per_unit_of_crop_production" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_grazing_land_inflation_contribution" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_irrigation_water_used_per_unit_of_crop_production_inflation_contribution" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.weight_of_marginal_energy_cost_inflation" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.deflation_adjustment_time"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.initial_inflation_index" scaling="100"/>
<isee:parameter name="Inflation.initial_inflation_rate" scaling="100"/>
<isee:payoff name="Real GDP" action="min"/>
<isee:payoff name="Full Payoff Sans Climate" action="min" inactive="true"/>
<isee:payoff name="Full Payoff" action="min" inactive="true"/>
</isee:optimizer_specs>
</isee:optimizer_specs_list>
<isee:payoff_specs_list>
<isee:payoff_specs name="Population Payoff" calibration="true" recompute_weights="true" compare_tolerance="0" compare_type="ls" compare_run="Calibration Data">
<isee:payoff_element name="Demographics.Population[1]" weight="0.000504617" compare_name="Demographics.Population[1]" compare_run="Calibration Data" tolerance="0" type="ls"/>
<isee:payoff_element name="Demographics.Aged_0_years[1]" weight="0.10937" compare_name="Demographics.Aged_0_years[1]" compare_run="Calibration Data" tolerance="0" type="ls"/>
<isee:payoff_element name="Demographics.Aged_1_to_20_years[1]" weight="0.00573596" compare_name="Demographics.Aged_1_to_20_years[1]" compare_run="Calibration Data" tolerance="0" type="ls"/>
<isee:payoff_element name="Demographics.Aged_20_to_40_years[1]" weight="0.00420447" compare_name="Demographics.Aged_1_to_20_years[1]" compare_run="Calibration Data" tolerance="0" type="ls"/>
<isee:payoff_element name="Demographics.Aged_40_to_60_years[1]" weight="0.00301168" compare_name="Demographics.Aged_1_to_20_years[1]" compare_run="Calibration Data" tolerance="0" type="ls"/>
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<isee:payoff_element name="Demographics.Aged_Over_75_years[1]" weight="0.00545772" compare_name="Demographics.Aged_1_to_20_years[1]" compare_run="Calibration Data" tolerance="0" type="ls"/>
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