2024-09-10-copley24a.md

title	booktitle	year	volume	series	month	publisher	pdf	url	abstract	layout	issn	id	tex_title	firstpage	lastpage	page	order	cycles	bibtex_editor	editor	bibtex_author	author	date	address	container-title	genre	issued	extras
The Uncertain Object: Application of Conformal Prediction to Aerial and Satellite Images	Proceedings of the Thirteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications	2024	230	Proceedings of Machine Learning Research	0	PMLR	https://raw.githubusercontent.com/mlresearch/v230/main/assets/copley24a/copley24a.pdf	https://proceedings.mlr.press/v230/copley24a.html	Satellites and airborne sensors are critical components of the modern surveillance and reconnaissance capability. A common use case involves the application of object detection models to such images in order to rapidly process the large volumes of data. This optimises use of expensive communications channel bandwidth, reduces the cognitive load on a human interpreter and accelerates the rate at which intelligence can be generated. However there is a clear need for statements of confidence in any predictions in order to provide context and enable trust in model outputs. Our work examines the use of conformal prediction approaches to robustly quantify types of uncertainty in object detection models applied to aerial and satellite imagery for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance use cases. We investigate measures of detection and location uncertainty in a YOLO model and indicate how these may be leveraged conformal-wise to provide guarantees on the percentage of objects which aren’t detected and the coverage of predicted bounding boxes. We find that conformal approaches provide a simple and effective means to expose the uncertainty in the outputs of an object detection model and highlight the utility of this knowledge in the intelligence setting.	inproceedings	2640-3498	copley24a	The Uncertain Object: Application of Conformal Prediction to Aerial and Satellite Images	73	89	73-89	73	false	Vantini, Simone and Fontana, Matteo and Solari, Aldo and Bostr\"{o}m, Henrik and Carlsson, Lars	given family Simone Vantini given family Matteo Fontana given family Aldo Solari given family Henrik Boström given family Lars Carlsson	Copley, Vicky and Finlay, Greg and Hiett, Ben	given family Vicky Copley given family Greg Finlay given family Ben Hiett	2024-09-10		Proceedings of the Thirteenth Symposium on Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with Applications	inproceedings	date-parts 2024 9 10