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Introduction

This notebook analyzes the performance trends in the men's and women's 100-meter and 200-meter dash in the Summer Olympic Games. The goal is to understand:

  • How fast each medalists' time is compared to the model's expected result for that Olympic year
  • Which medalist overperformed their expected result the most compared to all other competitors in the same event
  • To predict the expected result for Gold, Silver, and Bronze in the 2024 Olympic Games 100-meter and 200-meter dash

This notebook was forked and based on Omri Goldstein's work on Kaggle. The updates to his notebook are the following:

  • Added results from the Summer 2020 Olympic Games
  • Plotted the data and fitted an exponential curve for each medal
  • Removed outlier results from early Summer Olympic Games to better fit model
  • Predicted the results for the 2024 men's and women's 100-meter and 200-meter dash

For a more detailed analysis of this project, you can read my blog post on Medium.

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