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title abstract layout series publisher issn id month tex_title firstpage lastpage page order cycles bibtex_editor editor bibtex_author author date note address container-title volume genre issued pdf extras
Small sample inference for generalization error in classification using the CUD bound
Confidence measures for the generalization error are crucial when small training samples are used to construct classifiers. A common approach is to estimate the generalization error by resampling and then assume the re-sampled estimator follows a known distribution to form a confidence set [Kohavi 1995, Martin 1996, Yang 2006]. Alternatively, one might bootstrap the resampled estimator of the generalization error to form a confidence set. Unfortunately, these methods do not reliably provide sets of the desired confidence. The poor performance appears to be due to the lack of smoothness of the generalization error as a function of the learned classifier. This results in a non-normal distribution of the estimated generalization error. We construct a confidence set for the generalization error by use of a smooth upper bound on the deviation between the resampled estimate and generalization error. The confidence set is formed by bootstrapping this upper bound. In cases in which the approximation class for the classifier can be represented as a parametric additive model, we provide a computationally efficient algorithm. This method exhibits superior performance across a series of test and simulated data sets.
inproceedings
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research
PMLR
2640-3498
laber08a
0
Small sample inference for generalization error in classification using the CUD bound
357
365
357-365
357
false
McAllester, David A. and Myllym{"a}ki, Petri
given family
David A.
McAllester
given family
Petri
Myllymäki
Laber, Eric B. and Murphy, Susan A.
given family
Eric B.
Laber
given family
Susan A.
Murphy
2008-07-09
Reissued by PMLR on 30 October 2024.
Proceedings of the 24th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
R6
inproceedings
date-parts
2008
7
9