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bibliography.bib
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@Comment * Cori A, Ferguson NM, Fraser C, Cauchemez S. A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics. Am J Epidemiol. 2013; 178: 1505-1512.
@article{cori2013new,
title={A new framework and software to estimate time-varying reproduction numbers during epidemics},
author={Cori, Anne and Ferguson, Neil M and Fraser, Christophe and Cauchemez, Simon},
journal={American journal of epidemiology},
volume={178},
number={9},
pages={1505--1512},
year={2013},
publisher={Oxford University Press}
}
@Comment * Wang Y, Teunis PFM. Strongly heterogeneous transmission of COVID-19 in mainland China: local and regional variation. March 10, 2020. medRxiv
@article{wang2020strongly,
title={Strongly heterogeneous transmission of COVID-19 in mainland China: local and regional variation},
author={Wang, Yuke and Teunis, Peter FM},
journal={medRxiv},
year={2020},
publisher={Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press}
}
@Comment * Ferguson NM. et al. 2020. Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/
@article{ferguson2020report,
title={Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand},
author={Ferguson, Neil and Laydon, Daniel and Nedjati Gilani, Gemma and Imai, Natsuko and Ainslie, Kylie and Baguelin, Marc and Bhatia, Sangeeta and Boonyasiri, Adhiratha and Cucunuba Perez, Zulma and Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina and others},
year={2020}
}
@Comment * Lloyd-Smith JO, Schreiber SJ, Kopp PE, Getz WM. Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence. Nature, 2005; 438, 355-359.
@Comment * Nouvellet P et al. A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence. Epidemics, 2018; 22. 29-35.
@article{nouvellet2018simple,
title={A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence},
author={Nouvellet, Pierre and Cori, Anne and Garske, Tini and Blake, Isobel M and Dorigatti, Ilaria and Hinsley, Wes and Jombart, Thibaut and Mills, Harriet L and Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma and Van Kerkhove, Maria D and others},
journal={Epidemics},
volume={22},
pages={29--35},
year={2018},
publisher={Elsevier}
}
@Comment * Parag K and Donnelly C. Optimising Renewal Models for Real-Time Epidemic Prediction and Estimation. BioRxiv, 835181, 2019.
@article{parag2019optimising,
title={Optimising Renewal Models for Real-Time Epidemic Prediction and Estimation},
author={Parag, Kris V and Donnelly, Christl A},
journal={bioRxiv},
pages={835181},
year={2019},
publisher={Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory}
}
@article{fraser2007estimating,
title={Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic},
author={Fraser, Christophe},
journal={{PloS One}},
volume={2},
number={8},
year={2007},
publisher={Public Library of Science}
}
@misc{whositrep,
title = {{Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) Situation Report – 76}},
howpublished = {\url{https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200405-sitrep-76-covid-19.pdf}},
note = {Accessed 2020-04-05},
year = {2020}
}
@misc{onsreport,
title = {{Deaths relating to the coronavirus (COVID-19)}},
howpublished = {\url{https://www.ons.gov.uk/news/statementsandletters/deathsrelatingtothecoronaviruscovid19}},
note = {Accessed 2020-04-01},
year = {2020}
}
@article{viboud2018rapidd,
title={{The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt}},
author={Viboud, C{\'e}cile and Sun, Kaiyuan and Gaffey, Robert and Ajelli, Marco and Fumanelli, Laura and Merler, Stefano and Zhang, Qian and Chowell, Gerardo and Simonsen, Lone and Vespignani, Alessandro and others},
journal={Epidemics},
volume={22},
pages={13--21},
year={2018},
publisher={Elsevier}
}
@article{verity2020,
title={Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis},
author={Verity, R and Okell, L and Dorigatti, I and Winskill, P and Whittaker, C and Imai, N and Cuomo-Dannenburg, G and Thompson, H and Walker, P G T and Fu, H and Dighe A and Griffin J T and Baguelin M and Bhatia S and Boonyasiri A and Cori A and Cucunubá Z and FitzJohn R and Gaythorpe K and Green W and Hamlet A and Hinsley W and Laydon D and Nedjati-Gilani G and Riley S and Elsland van S van Volz E and Wang H and Wang Y and Xi X and Donnelly C A and Ghani A C and Ferguson N M},
journal={Lancet Infectious Diseases},
year={2020}
}