HIDDA.forecasting 1.1.0
Some minor updates of the package vignettes:
-
Use standard PIT for continuous forecasts (
arima
,prophet
,naive
).
Differences to the previously used non-randomized PIT histograms for count data are negligible. -
Investigate scores for discretized log-normal forecasts, via new function
scores_lnorm_discrete()
.
These scores are almost identical to the continuous scores, essentially due to the large counts. -
Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages (forecast 8.5, glarma 1.6.0, hhh4contacts 0.13.0, prophet 0.4, scoringRules 0.9.5, surveillance 1.17.0) in R 3.5.3. These updates did not affect any results.