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HIDDA.forecasting 1.1.0

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@bastistician bastistician released this 29 Mar 14:44
· 22 commits to master since this release

Some minor updates of the package vignettes:

  • Use standard PIT for continuous forecasts (arima, prophet, naive).
    Differences to the previously used non-randomized PIT histograms for count data are negligible.

  • Investigate scores for discretized log-normal forecasts, via new function scores_lnorm_discrete().
    These scores are almost identical to the continuous scores, essentially due to the large counts.

  • Vignettes have been rebuilt using up-to-date versions of all involved packages (forecast 8.5, glarma 1.6.0, hhh4contacts 0.13.0, prophet 0.4, scoringRules 0.9.5, surveillance 1.17.0) in R 3.5.3. These updates did not affect any results.