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Agent based macroeconomic model

Based on Stephensen 2022 https://github.com/PeterStephensen/dream.agentbased.SOE

First draft

This first version contains a single production sector, and no monetary policy or financial system - i.e. the monetary base is fixed and productivity growth leads to deflation.

Approximately 50,000 households and 5,000 firms are simulated on a monthly basis.

Baseline

The following plots show the baselines of 300 simulations. The red line is the mean value and shaded areas indicate the 95% confidence intervals. The result of single simulation is shown in gray as an example. plot

Firm destruction shock

Below we show responses to a firm destruction shock where 10% of firms are suddenly closed plot

Firm productivity shock

Next, responses to a productivity shock where the productivity of all new firms are 10% higher: plot

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