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fixes typos
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asemposki authored Jan 31, 2024
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Uncertainty quantification using Bayesian methods is a growing area of
research. Bayesian model mixing (BMM) is a recent development which
combines the predictions from multiple models such that each the fidelity
of individual models is preserved in the final result. Practical tools and
of each model is preserved in the final result. Practical tools and
analysis suites that facilitate such methods are therefore needed.
`Taweret`[^1] introduces BMM to existing Bayesian uncertainty quantification
efforts. Currently `Taweret` contains three individual Bayesian model
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Each physics-based model we consider may have unknown parameters which have
physical meaning.
In this context, Bayesian calibration corresponds to the process of using
observational dat to learn the values (and more generally, the posterior
distribtutions) of this these unknown parameters.
observational data to learn the values (and more generally, the posterior
distributions) of this these unknown parameters.
Most approaches in model mixing and model averaging use a two-step approach:
(step 1) fit individual models using a subset of the data; (step 2) mix the
predictions from each model (the results from step 1) using the other subset
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