📊 wb: add series connecting estimates and projections of poverty from World Bank

etl/steps/data/garden/wb/2024-12-03/poverty_projections.meta.yml

@@ -33,6 +33,8 @@ definitions:
     Estimates are based on household surveys or extrapolated up until the year of the data release using GDP growth estimates and forecasts. For more details about the methodology, please refer to the [World Bank PIP documentation](https://datanalytics.worldbank.org/PIP-Methodology/lineupestimates.html#nowcasts).
     <% elif scenario == "Current forecast + historical growth" %>
     This data is a projection of the estimates based on GDP growth projections from the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects and the the Macro Poverty Outlook, together with IMF's World Economic Outlook, in the period 2025-2029. For the period 2030-2050, the data is projected using the average annual historical GDP per capita growth over 2010-2019.
+    <% elif scenario == "Historical + current forecast + historical growth" %>
+    This data combines data based on household surveys or extrapolated up until the year of the data release using GDP growth estimates and forecasts, with projections based on GDP growth projections from the World Bank's Global Economic Prospects and the the Macro Poverty Outlook, together with IMF's World Economic Outlook, in the period 2025-2029. For the period 2030-2050, the data is projected using the average annual historical GDP per capita growth over 2010-2019.
     <% elif scenario == "2% growth" %>
     This data is a projection of the estimates based on a scenario of 2% average GDP per capita growth, while keeping income inequality constant.
     <% elif scenario == "2% growth + Gini reduction 1%" %>
@@ -48,7 +50,7 @@ definitions:
     <%- endif -%>
 
   isprojection_by_scenario: |-
-    <% if scenario == "Historical" %>
+    <% if scenario == "Historical" or scenario == "Historical + current forecast + historical growth" %>
     false
     <% else %>
     true

etl/steps/data/garden/wb/2024-12-03/poverty_projections.py

@@ -92,6 +92,10 @@ def connect_estimates_with_projections(tb: Table) -> Table:
 
     tb = tb.copy()
 
+    # Save tb_historical and tb_current_forecast, by filtering scenario in historical and current_forecast
+    tb_historical = tb[tb["scenario"] == "historical"].copy().reset_index(drop=True)
+    tb_current_forecast = tb[tb["scenario"] == "current_forecast"].copy().reset_index(drop=True)
+
     # Make table wider, by using scenario as columns
     tb = tb.pivot(index=["country", "year", "povertyline"], columns="scenario", values=INDICATOR_COLUMNS)
 
@@ -116,4 +120,16 @@ def connect_estimates_with_projections(tb: Table) -> Table:
     for indicator in INDICATOR_COLUMNS:
         tb[indicator] = tb[indicator].copy_metadata(tb["country"])
 
+    # Combine historical and current_forecast, by concatenating tb_historical and tb_current_forecast
+    tb_connected = pr.concat([tb_historical, tb_current_forecast], ignore_index=True)
+
+    # Rename scenario column to "Historical + current forecast + historical growth"
+    tb_connected["scenario"] = "Historical + current forecast + historical growth"
+
+    # Keep only the columns in INDEX_COLUMNS and INDICATOR_COLUMNS
+    tb_connected = tb_connected[INDEX_COLUMNS + INDICATOR_COLUMNS]
+
+    # Concatenate tb and tb_connected
+    tb = pr.concat([tb, tb_connected], ignore_index=True)
+
     return tb

snapshots/wb/2024-12-03/reproducibility_package_poverty_prosperity_planet.zip.dvc

@@ -12,6 +12,7 @@ meta:
     producer: Lakner et al.
     citation_full: |-
       Lakner, C., Genoni, M. E., Stemmler, H., Yonzan, N., & Tetteh Baah, S. K. (2024). Reproducibility package for Poverty, Prosperity and Planet Report 2024. World Bank. https://doi.org/10.60572/KGE4-CX54
+    attribution: Lakner et al. (2024). Reproducibility package for Poverty, Prosperity and Planet Report 2024
 
     # Files
     url_main: https://reproducibility.worldbank.org/index.php/catalog/189/