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Estimates in-hospital mortality in patients admitted for COVID-19

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Estimates in-hospital mortality in patients admitted for COVID-19.

Marcolino MS, Pires MC, Ramos LEF, Silva RT, Oliveira LM, et al. ABC2-SPH risk score for in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients: development, external validation and comparison with other available scores. Int J Infect Dis. 2021;110:281-308. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.07.049. Available from: https://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S1201-9712(21)00605-6

When to use?

  • At admission in the emergency department, to stratify the in-hospital mortality risk of patients with COVID-19.

How was it developed and validated?

  • Based in a cohort of 5,032 patients from 36 hospitals, from 17 cities in Brazil, as well as a cohort of 474 Spanish patients, following strict methodological criteria.

Why to use?

  • It is easily calculated at bedside at admission.
  • It identifies four categories at increasing risk of death with a high level of accuracy, which outperformed other existing scores.
  • It may help healthcare practitioners to better identify patients with higher risk of mortality, to inform early interventions and the need of repetitive assessments to reduce the risk of death.

How it should be used?

Only inhospital patients, through the use of variables easily accessible at admission.

How it should not be used?

  • It should not be considered a medical device.
  • It must not be interpreted as patients from low risk group may be discharged for home treatment.
  • It was validated in a cohort of Brazilian patients, and it should not be adopted for routine clinical use in other settings until it has been appropriately externally validated in those settings.