Strawman

Strawman paper organization

(T Miller)

Paper 1:

Comparison of retrospective performance with state-space and traditional models

1. Simulate data using state-space model with different changes in time series that might cause retro when not considered
2. Fit data with state-space models and generate retro value
3. Fit data with SCAA models and generate retro values

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Paper 2:

Comparison of stock-recruitment model estimation internally and externally:

1. Simulate data using state-space model
2. Fit stock-recruitment using state-space model
3. Fit stock-recuritment using SCAA output
4. Fit stock-recruitment using VPA output
5. May also want to consider alternative S-R models in simulation and estimation

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Paper 3:

Comparison of uncertainty estimation using different models:

1. Simulate data using state-space mdoels
2. Fit state-space models and estimate uncertainty
3. Fit SCAA models and estimate uncertainty
4. Fit VPA models and estimate uncertainty

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Paper 4:

Evaluate whether appropriate model complexity can be determined statistically

1. Simulate data using state-space model
2. Fit different models that use likelihood-based methods (no penalties)
3. Calculate information criteria and see if correct model complexity is determined