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SIR Metapopulation
Serge Stinckwich edited this page Apr 19, 2022
·
3 revisions
sirConcern := KEModelPart new.
sirConcern attributes: {(#status -> #(#S #I #R))}.
sirConcern addParameters: {#lambda . #gamma}.
sirConcern
addTransitionFrom: {(#status -> #S)} to: {(#status -> #I)} probability: [ :aModel | aModel atParameter: #lambda ].
sirConcern
addTransitionFrom: {(#status -> #I)} to: {(#status -> #R)} probability: [ :aModel | aModel atParameter: #gamma ].
patchConcern := KEModelPart new.
patchConcern addAttribute: #patch value: (1 to: 3) asArray.
patchConcern addParameter: #rho.
1 to: 2
do: [ :i |
patchConcern
addTransitionFrom: {(#patch -> i)}
to: {(#patch -> (i + 1))}
probability: [ :aModel | aModel atParameter: #rho ]].
patchConcern addTransitionFrom: {(#patch -> 3)} to: {(#patch -> 1)} probability: [ :aModel | aModel atParameter: #rho ].
model := patchConcern + sirConcern.
model atParameter: #beta assignValue: 0.1.
model atParameter: #gamma assignValue: 1/30.
model atParameter: #N assignValue: 100.
model
atParameter: #N
assignValue: [ :aModel |
| c |
c := aModel currentCompartment at: #patch.
aModel sizeOfPopulation: (Array with: c) ].
model atParameter: #rho assignValue: 0.03.
model
atParameter: #lambda
assignValue: [ :aModel |
| c |
c := aModel currentCompartment at: #patch.
(aModel atParameter: #beta)
*
(aModel
atCompartment:
{(#status -> #I).
(#patch -> c)})/(aModel atParameter: #N) ].
model
atCompartment:
{(#status -> #S).
(#patch -> 1)}
put: 90
atOthersPut: 0.
model
atCompartment:
{(#status -> #I).
(#patch -> 1)}
put: 10.
model
atCompartment:
{(#status -> #S).
(#patch -> 2)}
put: 100.
model
atCompartment:
{(#status -> #S).
(#patch -> 3)}
put: 100.
simulator := KESimulator
new: #RungeKutta
from: 0.0
to: 365
step: 1.
simulator executeOn: model.
chart := KEChart new.
chart
addDataFrame: (simulator
timeSeriesOutputsAt:
{#status -> #I.
#patch -> 1});
addDataFrame: (simulator
timeSeriesOutputsAt:
{(#status -> #I).
(#patch -> 2)});
addDataFrame: (simulator
timeSeriesOutputsAt:
{(#status -> #I).
(#patch -> 3)}).
chart legendTitle: 'Infectious'.
chart plot